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Tanya Stevenson

Tanya's Blog - Saturday 14th July 2012

We may need to call the RNLI! After scampering around outside this morning a new pair of Wellington boots are required so here’s hoping at least one of the selections can win. Form may be the last thing you need to look at as a preference for a snorkel and flippers is high on the priority list. Understandably the non-runner count at Newmarket alone was up to 21 at the time of typing this blog.

It’s busy in the press room. Emma Spencer sits opposite while Nick Luck, Chris Dixon, Dave Ord, Michael Shinners (SkyBet) are all putting the world to rights to my right. Mac is quietly etching stats in numerous racecards on a desk behind me, while the photographers have taken position to my left. Steve Cargill, Chairman of the HWPA has drawn the short straw, and is sat next to me.

As for the movers, Pricewise selections are hugely popular, while Nick Robson in Racing Plus has gone for Area Fifty One in the John Smith’s Cup. For me it’s hard to find a viable alternative to Mijhaar, if there is one it could well be Sir Mark Prescott’s Mid Mon Lady.

He’s only had her for one race which was the Warwickshire Oaks and this race could suit the regime. I agree with Value Plus and Suraj, as the weight concession and the long straight at York should suit.

As for the July Cup you want stamina as well as speed and I like Reply, as he possesses both. In the Bunbury Cup Stevie Thunder ran a cracker at Royal Ascot and I’ve been waiting for his next appearance and here it is, just in a quiet little race … not!

 

Today's Selections:

2.25 York Suraj

2.40 Newmarket Stevie Thunder

3.00 York Mijhaar (Mid Mon Lady each-way)

3.20 Newmarket Reply

3.50 Newbury Hototo

 

Tanya's Pointers

Saeed Bin Suroor has had seven winners and four seconds from his last 16 runners

Seven of the last ten winners of the Superlative Stakes won on their most recent start

Eight of the last ten winners of the July Cup were drawn low

Nine of the last ten winners of the July Cup were aged 3, 4 or 5

Four of the last six winners of York’s 1.55 came from stall 3

Nine of the last ten winners of York’s 1.55 came from a single figure stall

Six of the last eight winners of the John Smith’s Cup came from stall 12 or higher

All those successful in the John Smith’s Cup since 2006 have carried 8-12 or less

The last ten winners of the John Smith’s Cup were aged five or younger

Eight of the last ten winners of the John Smith’s Cup finished in the first four last time out

Masamah has won three of his five races at York and three of his four races in July

Nine of the last ten winners of the Weatherbys Super Sprint came from stall 13 or lower

Nine of the last ten winners of the Weatherbys Super Sprint carried 8-12 or lower

Richard Hannon has won the Weatherbys Super Sprint seven times

 

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