Tanya Stevenson
Tanya Stevenson's Racing UK Blog
Thursday 3rd April 2014

Horse Racing Betway Banners

Racing UK
Bookmakers will be rubbing their hands about Mossey Joe

I am finally ensconced in the Aintree press room; the place feels like home. As I walked through the main entrance on Wednesday, my heart warmed. 

There is a magic in the air, an atmosphere not replicated anywhere else, but then Aintree is special. It pens fairytales, and here the improbable is possible. 

The 13-8 about Mossey Joe in the Crabbie’s Supporting The Hillsborough Families Foxhunters’ Chase would have been short enough had it been over orthodox fences, but over the big spruce obstacles it is alarming.

Bookmakers will be rubbing their hands together at the thought of something to get stuck into, and with hardly any chance of getting The New One turned over Mossey Joe’s prohibitive price is a gift. 

Now he may win by a distance, but with the likely drama to play out over the fences there are plenty in the field capable of springing a surprise. 

Pentiffic looked well on Wednesday and Venetia Williams has had a phenomenal season. The horse was a winner last time out at Warwick and might be suited to the fences. 

Although 4-9 can be sighted The New One is generally 2-5 for the Doom Bar Aintree Hurdle. Normally I’d be dubious of horses who appear, or are unlucky, last time, and Nigel Twiston-Davies horse was badly hampered at Cheltenham. 

Ignoring that run at the Festival, however, he would still be well odds-on for this event, no?  I just wonder whether he is short enough.  On reading the race again and again should he be more like 2-7 than 2-5?  It certainly is one for debate.

Calipto is a horse who could also be a big price, in the opener after Daryl Jacob’s stirrup leather broke at a key point during the Triumph Hurdle at Cheltenham last month.

Triumph Hurdle runners have a great record in the first race of the day and he would have been close at Prestbury Park.

Prior to that he defeated Activial at Newbury and if there is a danger it could well be the maiden Commissioned, who didn’t put in a bad display in the Adonis at Kempton.

Finally the last race of the opening day I have been toying between Uncle Jimmy, Pateese and Seefood as they all ran well without being in camera shot in the Pertemps Final at Cheltenham.

Uncle Jimmy clouted two out when in contention and then faded badly. Pateese ran on up the inner, while Seefood did attract my attention and Aintree could well suit him better than Cheltenham. The race is live and exclusive on .

Let's take a deep breath and here it goes for three days of fun.

Horse Racing Betway Banners

Tanya Stevenson's Thursday tips:

2.00 Aintree: Calipto at 7-2 with Coral

3.40 Aintree: Pentiffic at 16-1

5.25 Aintree: Seefood at 20-1 with Coral

Tanya Stevenson’s big-race pointers:

Barry Geraghty is enjoying a 54% strike rate at present

Nicky Henderson is enjoying a 43% strike rate

Willie Mullins is enjoying a 44% strike rate

Injured Jockeys Fund 50th Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle:

Seven of the last ten favourites have won

Seven of the last ten winners had run in the Triumph Hurdle, with six of them finishing in the first three at Cheltenham

Nine of the last ten winners had run at the Cheltenham Festival

The last nine winners finished in the first three last time out

Four of the last six winners had run in the Adonis Hurdle at Kempton

Betfred Bowl Chase:

Only five winning favourites since 1984 and only one in the last ten years

Seven of the last ten winners had taken in the Cheltenham Festival

Six of the last ten winners had run at Aintree before

Only four of the last ten winners had taken in the King George

In the last 30 years See More Business, First Gold and Florida Pearl all won the King George and the Betfred Bowl in the same season

Only four of the last ten winners had run in the Cheltenham Gold Cup

Doom Bar Aintree Hurdle:

Only four favourites have won in the last 20 years

Eight of the last ten winners were a single-figure price

Nine of the last ten came from the first four in the betting

Seven of the last ten winners ran at the Cheltenham Festival

Five of the last ten winners took in the Champion Hurdle

Seven of the last ten winners had previously run at this Aintree meeting

Crabbie's Supporting The Hillsborough Families Fox Hunters' Chase:

Only one Irish-trained winner in thirty years

Nine of the last ten winners had been aged 10 or over

Since 1994 all but two of the winners came from the first four in the betting

Six of the last nine winners had run over the Grand National fences previously

Silver Cross Red Rum Handicap Chase:

Five winning favourites since 2002

Since 1994 Oiseau De Nuit has been the only winner aged older than nine

Six of the last ten winners had taken in the Cheltenham Festival (four of those in the Grand Annual)

Eight of the last ten winners had previously run at Aintree

Free Horse Racing Tips from Betting Gods