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Tanya Stevenson's Racing UK Blog |
| Saturday 26th April 2014 |
If you win the Scoop 6 I’ll hopefully see you at Newmarket!
Hopefully the script is already written that Sire De Grugy jumps a clear round in the bet365 Celebration Chase and warms the crowd at Sandown on Saturday.
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With the prices generally fluctuating according to what was happening on Betfair, however, the on-course turnover was low to non-existent, which is likely to be far from the case for Saturday’s action.
Sire De Grugy is sure to help the turnstiles click, despite the potential showery forecast, although the rain should blow through come the time of the first race.
There’ll be much said about the enormous Scoop6 rollover, which has recruited races from Haydock and Ripon along with Sandown to try and increase the chances of another rollover.
Watching the distribution last week, it seemed only one syndicate had survived through to the fourth leg with ten tickets on about six horses including outsiders, Sunny Legend and Vif Argent.
It’s interesting watching the ticket breakdown and distribution, as beyond the favourite the selections are not often spread across the horses you would expect.
I’ve put together a perm of 16 bets for you, however, if I were to break it down further to a cheaper line the preference would be for Keltus, Glen Moss, Seeking Magic, Gabrial’s Kaka, Mubaraza and both Carruthers and Ardkilly Witness.
Having watched the Fred Winter Juvenile Hurdle a few times Keltus appeals, a big, lolloping grey he gave the appearance there is plenty more improvement to come.
Glen Moss was a massive market mover last week, while Seeking Magic gives his all every race he runs in - the white knuckles are bound to show through as Clive Cox’s horse tries to make all.
Tullius franked the Lincoln form with his win in the Bet365 Mile on Friday, and Gabrial’s Kaka has already come out and won at Newbury so I’m weighing in on him again.
Last time we saw Mubaraza he was third in the John Smith’s Northumberland Plate, form which should see him go close in the 3.30 at Ripon.
If I’m lucky enough to get to the last leg, then I will become very self-conscious and extremely nervous on television, with front-runner Carruthers and Ardkilly Witness carrying the responsibility.
The last time Carruthers carried less than 11 stone he won the West Wales National at Ffos Las. While Ardkilly Witness is just a novice and relatively new to chasing, he carries a very low weight and his trainer Dr Richard Newland is hoping to add to his Crabbie’s Grand National victory.
Best of luck if you’re going to attempt to win the Scoop6 and if you prevail I’ll hopefully see you at Newmarket for your bonus attempt!
Tanya Stevenson’s Scoop 6 perm:
2.05 Sandown: Saint Jerome, Keltus
2.20 Haydock: Glen Moss
2.50 Ripon: Doc Hay, Seeking Magic
3.25 Haydock: Gabrial’s Kaka
3.30 Ripon: Mubaraza, Huff And Puff
3.50 Sandown: Carruthers, Ardkilly Witness
Tanya Stevenson’s Saturday pointers:
The last clear favourite to win the Bet365 Gold Cup is Mr Frisk in 1990 - Docklands Express 1991 and Beau 2000 were co-favourites when they won
Nine of the last ten winners of the Bet365 Gold Cup had been off the course no longer than 46 days. (Bury Parade, Opening Batsman and Poungach have all been off the course for longer)
Seven of the last ten winners of the Bet365 Gold Cup had failed to win on their previous four runs.
Seven of the last ten winners carried less than 11 stone
Only one favourite has won the Celebration Chase in the last ten years
Paul Nicholls has won five Celebration Chases
The last nine winners of the Celebration Chase were aged nine or younger
Eight of the last ten winners of the Celebration Chase had taken in the Cheltenham Festival (Australia Day and Pepite Rose didn’t go to the Festival)
