Tanya Stevenson
Tanya Stevenson's Racing UK Blog
Friday 13th May 2016

Racing UK

I’m feeling the Tug of Frankie Dettori at York on Friday

Job done. 

Oh dear. That was not meant to happen in the Dante Stakes on Thursday, but it did and now the top of the Investec Derby betting reads 3-1 Minding with a run, 3-1 So Mi Dar with a run, 5-1 Galileo Gold with a run.  

In fact most of the Trial winners are not even entered in the Derby! Wings Of Desire is not entered as John Gosden pulled him out before he even had a run.

This is more ammunition for the cheerleaders of the Win And You’re In concept and after today they have a point. There are at least five horses who need to be supplemented to the Derby for the sum of £75,000 by May 30, which gives us an early version of the Florida Pegasus World Cup – soon to be the richest horse race in the world at $US12million!

US Army Ranger is the marginal favourite of those horses holding an entry, with Wings Of Desire now best at Paddy Power ’s 9-2. It took Frankie Dettori until 2007 to win his first Derby on Authorized, and now it seems after Golden Horn came along last season that he is in line for another!  

It will be an intriguing Breakfast With The Stars at Epsom on May 24, especially as Wings Of Desire is set to follow in the hoofprints of her former stablemates Taghrooda, Jack Hobbs and Golden Horn, who all used the event to tune up for the Oaks and Derby. 

If, by any chance, either or both of Minding and So Mi Dar took their chance in the Derby, where would that leave the Oaks? 

As for York on Friday, despite the smaller fields it appears to me to be very tricky. 

I’ve bottled it and gone for the obvious with Nemoralia in the Longines Irish Champions Weekend Fillies’ Stakes. 

She went to America at the end of last season and finished second in a Grade One in Belmont, then third in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies’ Turf at Keenland.  It is mighty form to bring to York, and who better at this point to have on board than the man of the moment Frankie Dettori!

It was almost two years since Top Tug had won when he arrived at Alan King’s yard in early April. Lightly raced, though, and with only 12 lifetime starts he went to Lingfield for a Class 2 Handicap on the All-Weather and won! 

He was always fancied when he ran for Sir Michael Stoute. He promised so much when travelling well in prominent positions.  He was sixth at this meeting last year behind Notarised, and despite continuing to go up the handicap without being a prolific winner he could prove to be dangerous in the Betway Jorvik Stakes. 

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Tanya Stevenson's Friday tips

3.30 York: Nemoralia at 11-10 with Bet Victor

4.40 York: Top Tug at 6-1 with Bet Victor

Tanya Stevenson's Friday pointers: 

2.55 York - Langleys Solicitors EBF Marygate Fillies' Stakes:                                                                        

Nine of the ten winners had won on their previous start

Five of the last ten were drawn stall nine – Stormy Clouds 

Nine of the last ten winners were priced 7-1 or shorter, five of them were favourites

3.30 York - Longines Irish Champions Weekend Fillies' Stakes

Seven of the last ten winners came from the first two in the betting

4.05 York - Betway Yorkshire Cup

Eight of the last ten winners were beaten on their last run

None of the last ten winners had more than one run in the current campaign

4.40 York - Betway Jorvik Handicap:

Ed Dunlop has had seven winners from his last 17 runners in May 

Eight of the last ten winners were aged four or five

Seven of the last ten winners have been drawn in single figure stalls

Only two of the last ten winners were priced in double figures, despite that only three favourites have obliged

Eight of the last ten derived from the first five in the betting

Chancery has won three of his 12 runs at York