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Tanya's Blog - 20th August 2010

There has been rain overnight in Yorkshire but not the amount to effect the going but at least it stops it from turning it into a concrete road although the clerk of the course has made the description faster. There’s a muggy feel as the temperatures certainly haven’t dropped but I sense it won’t be long before it clears up.

David Carr and Graham Cunningham are being ultra studious in the press room and must have been in the course well before nine, they even beat the cleaners in. An infantry of ground staff are meticulously walking the back straight picking up stones and replacing any divets. Chris Dixon walks in, now he is a man to follow, he has an spreadsheet with an impressive array of figures to which he adheres and is worth listening to when he appears on .

The ‘good thing’ of the day is at 2.15pm, Rainbow Peak sits comfortably around the 13-8 mark on the exchanges and there has been no support for any other the runners and the layers are far from a fit state after Wootton Bassett yesterday to get him. Realistically it is hard to see anything beat Rainbow Peak, Michael Jarvis is in tremendous form but I will have a sneaky each-way on Cesare after he won last time out.

The day starts with a handicap you need a crystal ball to find the winner, at the price Moose Moran looks value, he has been mixing it with Monterosso and Mikhail Glinka which makes him entitled to lug top weight round the Knavesmire. Green Lightning hasn’t been seen since May, which is a worry but his defeat of Harris Tweed reads very well, I’ll take the pair against the field at 1.45.

Equiano is sure to drag them along in the Nunthorpe and may well hold on, heart says Borderlescott in the Nunthorpe but pocket says Fleeting Spirit. Then perhaps the bet of the day is Hawk Mountain, trainer John Quinn has already had a winner at the meeting with New Planet. The horse has the ability and I’ll be seeing his joint-owner ’s very own Nick Luck at Sandown tomorrow.

TANYA’S POINTERS

Kieren Fallon has ridden seven winners, a second and two thirds from his last 18 rides

Richard Hughes has had 25 rides without a winner

Richard Hannon is 0 from 15 at this year’s Ebor Meeting

Michael Jarvis has had 8 winners, three seconds and two thirds from his last 18 runners

Eight of the last ten winners of York’s 1.45 have been drawn 8 or lower

John Dunlop has had two winners and two thirds from his last six runners in York’s 1.45

Kieren Fallon has had seven winners from his last eighteen rides up until Thursday morning

Only two of the last ten favourites have won York’s 1.45

Frankie Dettori and Saeed Bin Suroor’s last five runners in the Strensall Stakes, York’s 2.15pm have resulted in three winners, a second and a fourth they have Rio De La Plata today

The biggest starting price of the last ten Strensall Stakes winners is 8-1

The last ten winners of York’s 2.50 have been drawn eight or lower

Philip Robinson and Michael Jarvis have a 30% strike rate – 23 from 77 as do Neil Callan and Michael Jarvis 14 from 46

There have only been four winners of the Nunthorpe Stakes aged five and over since 1980

Seven of the last ten Nunthorpe Stakes winners came from the first four in the betting

Nine of the last ten Nunthorpe Stakes winners had won at least once earlier in the season

Borderlescott has won three of his four races at York