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Tanya's Blog - 2nd October 2010

Soft, heavy in places, that was going in the car-park at 6.30am at Newmarket’s Rowley Mile course. It’s been dry since then so I sense the ground on the course will be like running through treacle come race time of 1.55pm. Barry Dennis Bismarked Together in the first race – I’m astounded, but then he did want to lay Frankel last week so I’m not distraught. I can see his point, no two-year-old winner for Aidan O’Brien in Britain this year. She had a hard race at Ascot last week, but for me she is in a different class to her opponents, I’m out of form, so we’ll see.

The second race is much harder, Formosina is favourite but was weak when I checked various times during the Morning Line. I have taken a shine to the chances of Sir Reginald. Jim McGrath’s horse is always asleep when the stalls open and finishes strongly when the race is all but over, yet in this ground they will come back to him and his job of reducing the deficit will be made all that easier.

In the Sun Chariot, pricewise puts up Sahpresa and who can blame Tom Segal. She won with authority at Longchamp last time and is defending her crown today. Hen Night is the only over filly with a realistic love of really soft ground.

Those who emailed the Morning Line all wanted to be on Smokey Oakey for the Cambridgeshire. Myself I like Pires for Tony Martin, a light campaign this season and fair draw and will be a saver each-way for me against my main selection Circumvent. He thrives with cut in the ground, has won a big runner handicap but has run in six Group races in his career already. Tom Queally gets on well with him and he has a peach of a draw in stall 35 of 35.

The press room is filling up and everyone seems appreciate that I have tuned the televisions to the Ryder Cup, John Hunt has just walked in to prep for Radio Five Live duty before he heads to Longchamp tomorrow. McIroy and McDowell have just halved their match and it is as sunny at Celtic Manor as it is at Newmarket. Oh what a change from yesterday.

Tomorrow is the Arc from Longchamp and I have so much to do I won’t be typing a blog. What I suggest though is to have an each-way interest on Youmzain. There is not the strength and depth there has been in previous years.

POINTERS

26 of the last 29 Cambridgeshire winners had finished in the first four last time out

The Newbury Stakes has produced four of the last six Cambridgeshire winners

1985 was the last time a jockey won both the Sun Chariot and the Cambridgeshire in the same year.

Seven of the last 20 favourites have won the Cambridgeshire

Three and four-year-olds have won 25 of the last 33 Cambridgeshires

The last 57 five-year-olds to run in the Cambridgeshire have all been beaten

The Cambridgeshire was run on the July course in 1939, 1941, 1986 and 1991

Since 1996 the horse running from stall 17 in the Cambridgeshire has won 4 times, second once and fourth once today Viva Vettori out of the lucky stall

No horse has carried more than 9 5 to victory in the Cambridgeshire since 1995

Nine of the last ten Cambridgeshire winners were drawn 11 or above

Seven of the last ten were drawn 17 or higher

Since 1988 only two Cambridgeshire winners were aged over 6

Only four horses aged four or over have won the Sun Chariot in the last 30 years

Since 1988 17 of the Sun Chariot winners came from the top three in the betting

17 of the last 20 Sun Chariot winners finished either first, second or third on their most recent run.

James Fanshawe’s last nine runners in the Sun Chariot have all been beaten

The average starting price of the winner of Redcar’s Two-Year-Old Trophy over the last ten years is just over 13-1

The last nine favourites have been beaten in the Two-Year-Old Trophy