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Tanya Stevenson

Tanya's Blog - 26th July 2011

I’m back from a break, yet I feel drained, punting saps the energy. For a session on Sunday at Lords there was a God and he bowled for India. A joy to watch especially when I’ve ploughed in to them to win the series, but the chance of that limped off on Thursday when Zaher Khan incurred an injury. Then revenge for all the patriotic support as “Walking Wicket” (Matt Prior) defied my cruel jibe and in immense pressure rattled off a contemptuous and match-winning century. Mind you it was from great assistance from India who couldn’t stop a beach ball in the field and at times it seemed as though they didn’t have the energy, you can tell the pocket is speaking.

India only added to the woes of the evening before when Chad “Back to Lay” Campbell, choked with great enormity from being 2.96 to lay after a handful of holes of the third round, he managed to implode to the extent he was 4.3 to lay to finish in the top five!

Hands up all those who want the England cricket team to tour on an open top bus along the Sussex Downs to open up Glorious Goodwood week. Another five day bonanza of sport but will it be as tortuous for the pocket. The Sussex venue has the potential especially in the big field handicaps when all my selections seem trapped on the far side rail in the final two furlongs. Does my cynicism know no bounds? Must think positive, must think positive, it is a delightful meeting it picturesque surroundings and there is a few winners tucked away somewhere.

The populace will be weighing into Modun in the first as Sir Michael Stoute goes for his sixth win in the race. Yet preference is to seek out value in the form of FAREER. I had more of a chance in beating Dick Turpin, so cross that line of form out. Fareer is a horse who thrives in big fields, run at a relentless gallop, his Royal Hunt Cup and Hambleton Cup runs put him bang in and a perfect each-way price at around 20-1.
As a saver it may be wise to do the MODUN/FIORENTE double, a Stoute/Moore brace in the first two races. The Nathianel bandwagon is overloaded with those who have now jumped aboard, and the Fiorente line of form stands out. However yet again those who read Richard Hughes column on Saturday can’t shirk the issue when it comes to sneaking an each-way on MORIARTY.

DONCASTER ROVER could be the clue in a very tricky Lennox Stakes, he has been so consistent and with Silvestre de Sousa aboard they look set to spring a surprise at 3.10, no I haven’t got sunstroke!!!

 

POINTERS

2.00 GOODWOOD
Sir Michael Stoute has won Goodwood’s 2.00pm five times since 1981
Sir Henry Cecil and Tom Queally have teamed up for five winners, two seconds and a third from their last eleven runners
Goodwood’s 2.00pm has been won by less than a length 12 times in the last 15 years, with the average winning distance in that period just over ½ length (0.556)
Nine of the last ten winners of Goodwood’s 2.00 were aged four or five
The last eight winners of Goodwood’s 2.00 carried 8-11 or more
The last ten favourites have been beaten in Goodwood’s 2.00, in fact the last winning favourite was back in 1998, Supply And Demand 3-1F
Mark Johnston has had three winners of Goodwood’s 2.00 in the last eleven years

2.35 GOODWOOD
Sir Michael Stoute’s last seven runners in the Gordon Stakes have produced four wins (2009, 2008, 2004, 2001), a second, a third and a fourth.
Four of the last seven Gordon Stakes winners had run at Royal Ascot
The last seven winners of the Gordon Stakes were 4-1 or shorter
The last five favourites or joints have won
Ryan Moore is going for a fourth straight victory in the Gordon Stakes

3.10 GOODWOOD
There has only ever been one winning favourite of the Lennox Stakes, Iffraaj in 2006
Eight of the eleven winners of the Lennox Stakes have been aged 3 or 4

3.45 GOODWOOD
Favourites have a 48% strike rate in the Molecomb Stakes
Richard Hannon and Richard Hughes are attempting a hat-trick of wins in the Molecomb Stakes
Eight of the last nine winners finished no worse than second on their last start
The last six winners of the Molecomb had won on their first racecourse appearance and finished no worse than second on their last start which leaves Stonefield Flyer and Vocational as the only qualifiers.

 

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