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Haydock Sprint Cup 2011  

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    Haydock Sprint Cup Trends
    01/09/11

    The Betfred Sprint Cup takes place at Haydock on Saturday 3rd September. It’s a six-furlong group 1 open to horses aged 3 and above. The winners of the two 6F group 1’s in Britain this season, Dream Ahead and Society Rock, could lock horns in this.

    Bated Breath
    © Racehorse Photos

    Bated Breath

    Below we take a look at the trends for the past 10 years:

    Age (Win-Place-Runners)
    3yo: 3-4-34
    4yo: 2-9-42
    5yo: 3-3-28
    6yo+: 2-4-34
    No strong trends here with the ages of the winners being fairly evenly spread out.

    Gender
    Fillies/mares (2-4-18) have done well in this group 1, gaining 2 wins and filling 20% of the places from just 13% of the total runners.

    Recent/Past Form
    7 of 10 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time (2 of 3 exceptions unplaced in a group 1)
    10 of 10 winners had run at least twice that season
    8 of 10 winners (last 7) achieved their highest RPR in last 3 runs
    9 of 10 winners had won a listed race or higher (exception 2nd in a group 1)
    6 of 10 winners had finished in the first 3 in a group 1 in past 2 starts
    9 of 10 winners had won over 6F or 7F (exception won Nunthorpe last time)

    Other Races
    Hackwood Stakes winner (Deacon Blues): 10336 (1-2-5)
    Temple Stakes winner (Sole Power): 3104 (1-1-4)
    Duke Of York Stakes winner (Delegator): 717500020 (1-1-9)
    Greenlands Stakes winner (Hitchens): 01 (1-0-2)
    Middle Park winner (Dream Ahead): 9239 (0-2-4)
    July Cup winner (Dream Ahead): 620526 (0-2-6)
    Skybet Dash winner (Hoof It): 2 (0-1-1)
    Wokingham winner (Deacon Blues): 53 (0-1-2)
    Chipchase Stakes winner (Genki): 8430 (0-1-4)
    Golden Jubilee winner (Society Rock): 8205 (0-1-4)
    Bengough Stakes winner (Bewitched): 09 (0-0-2)
    King George Stakes winner (Masamah): 68 (0-0-2)
    Leisure Stakes winner (Bated Breath): 800 (0-0-3)
    4 of 10 winners ran in the Temple Stakes, finishing 3518
    3 of 10 winners ran in the Nunthorpe last time, finishing 214
    3 of 10 winners ran in the King’s Stand, finishing 702
    3 of 10 winners ran in the Golden Jubilee, finishing 649
    2 of 10 winners ran in the Duke Of York Stakes, finishing 12
    2 of 10 winners ran in the Hackwood Stakes, finishing 16
    2 of 10 winners ran in Prix Maurice De Gheest last time, finishing 22

    Trainers
    Roger Charlton (1-1-6) and Saeed Bin Suroor (1-1-7) have each trained the winner and a placed finisher in the past 10 years.
    William Haggas (0-1-1), Richard Fahey (0-1-3) and Kevin Ryan (0-1-6) are the only other trainers with entries to have saddled a placed finisher since 2001.
    Irish-trained horses (0-0-9) have not fared well in this, with all 9 of their representatives finishing unplaced (8 were trained by Aidan O’Brien).

    Draw (excluding 2008 running at Doncaster)
    Horses drawn bottom 5 stalls: 2-8-45
    Horses drawn in middle: 1-5-34
    Horses drawn top 5 stalls: 6-5-45
    6 of 9 winners (last 2) at Haydock were drawn in top 5 stalls.

    Price
    7 of 10 winners were priced between 9/1 and 25/1
    There have been plenty of double-figure priced winners, including the last 2.
    Favourites (2-2-10) have won just 2 of the last 10, giving a level stakes loss of 1.75.

    Summary:
    Based on trends from the past 10 years you are looking for a horse:
    • Fillies & mares do well
    • Run at least twice in 2011
    • Finished first or 2nd last time out
    • Achieved highest RPR in last 3 starts
    • Won a listed race or higher
    • Finished in first 3 in a group 1 in past 2 runs
    • Won over 6F or 7F
    • Ran in a group 1 sprint at Royal Ascot
    • Ran in the Temple and/or Hackwood Stakes this season
    • Finished in first 4 in Nunthorpe or Maurice Du Gheest last time
    • Drawn in top 5 stalls
    • Trained in Britain

     

    Betfred Sprint Cup (Group 1)
    £235800.00 added, 3yo plus, 6f, Class 1
    17 runners
    Going: Good-Good to Firm in places on Sprint Course.

    Form Horse Age Wt Trainer
    011520 Bated Breath 15 4 9-3 R Charlton
    23-6006 Dalghar (FR) 39 5 9-3 A M Balding
    30-2111 Deacon Blues 27 4 9-3 J R Fanshawe
    140-150 Delegator 39 5 9-3 Saeed bin Suroor
    245516 Doncaster Rover (USA) 6 5 9-3 D H Brown
    100164 Genki (IRE) 27 7 9-3 R Charlton
    544103 Hitchens (IRE) 56 6 9-3 T D Barron
    260604 Kingsgate Native (IRE) 15 6 9-3 Sir Michael Stoute
    310110 Masamah (IRE) 15 5 9-3 K A Ryan
    20-0212 Society Rock (IRE) 27 4 9-3 J R Fanshawe
    031052 Sole Power 6 4 9-3 Edward Lynam
    320010 Tiddliwinks 15 5 9-3 K A Ryan
    115-510 Dream Ahead (USA) 27 3 9-1 D M Simcock
    33-5140 Elzaam (AUS) 56 3 9-1 Roger Varian
    111-505 Wootton Bassett 27 3 9-1 R A Fahey
    1311-10 Bewitched (IRE) 77 4 9-0 Charles O'Brien
    1-10116 Hoof It 15 4 - M W Easterby

     

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