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Tanya Stevenson

Tanya's Blog - 17th September 2011

Flippers, snorkel, wet suit at the ready, those who relish soft, even heavy ground need only apply at Ayr, I’ve tipped CROISULTAN in the William Hill Ayr Gold Cup, but now rueing the fact the pin may have been better landing on Regal Parade.

On Thursday when the draw was being done one sensed this was a year the trophy would be wrestled away from David Nicholls domination, but he may well have done a very effective rain dance since then. He almost has one hand on the Silver Cup thanks to Nasri and Tax Free. (Well I hope he does with Tax Free!)

Yesterday was a rare luxury for me a trip to London, Oxford Street, Regent Street, Carnaby Street a first for almost 25 years, luckily I sewed the pockets up as prices are exorbitant. I can ill-afford anything other than window shopping only in Selfridges and Libertys. Unless a winner can be found today and then maybe, just maybe I can treat myself to a souvenir pencil.

Meanwhile the better half was feeding polos to his beloved National Hunt horses, so many hopes and dreams for this season. Manele Bay and Pocket Aces looked very well and the countdown to their return to the track is on, I’ll keep you informed.

Down to the nitty, gritty at Newbury, probably stupidly I am opposing Deacon Blues with KATLA, she hacked up in the Rockingham last year at York and receiving weight with Kieren Fallon on board another Irish winner alongside CROISULTAN.

Luca Cumani can’t be ignored in Newbury’s 3.05 he saddles two Kirthill and Naqshabban, yet I have been waiting to see DHAAMER since his last win at Haydock. John Gosden has two in the race but Dhaamer was mightily impressive and can only improve. TAX FREE ran a blinder in the Portland last week running on well, despite the rain I can’t disown him now.

A big weekend of NFL for me Oakland visit Buffalo but the biggest game surely is Michael Vick now quarterback of the Philadelphia Eagles returning to the Georgia Dome and the Atlanta Falcons, the team he brought back from the depths. Michael Vick makes Houdini look like an amateur and all is live on Channel 4 late Sunday early hours Monday.

 

POINTERS

David Nicholls has won six of the last eleven Ayr Gold Cups

Nine of the last ten winners of the Ayr Gold Cup finished no better than third on their previous start

In the last twenty years only one winner older than six

Eight of the last ten winners of the Ayr Gold Cup ran within the last 14 days

Only one winning favourite of the Ayr Gold Cup in the last 30 years

Only one horse has carried more than 9-3 to victory in the Ayr Gold Cup in the last decade and that was Advanced in 2007

The last Scottish-trained winner was Roman Warrior back in 1975

Only one of the last ten Ayr Silver Cup winners has been aged older than five

Seven of the last ten winners of the Ayr Silver Cup have been drawn high

Nine of the last ten favourties of the John Smith’s Cup Newbury’s 3.05 have been beaten and the average starting price of the winner is just over 12-1

Luca Cumani has won Newbury’s 3.05 four times in the last seven years

Eight of the last ten winners of Newbury’s 3.05 were drawn 9 or over

 

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