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Tanya Stevenson

Tanya's Blog - 26th November 2011

Apologies for the delay in posting, busy is an understatement, but it’s all been in a good way. At this point I’m in a press room full to capacity. John McCririck studiously is writing all his stats on relevant racecards. The Cornish pasties are on the go behind the catering counter but as yet not many takers. Luke Harvey comes over asking for the Newbury non-runners. John Hunt is discussing his recent visit to Upton Park. While the Racing Post journalists busily type aware their blogs. There is a plethora of photographers on the press room balcony on the fifth floor putting the world to rights and it’s great to see them as it shows the magnitude of Hennessy day.

Bookmaker Andy Smith reported good money in the betting ring yesterday and although he lost he will be rolling up his sleeves and getting stuck in today.

MINELLA THEATRE at Newbury could well win the mover of the day competition. 5-1 overnight it collapse to 7-2 with Ladbrokes by 8.30am and even though Coral were 9-2 that also came under pressure. He runs in Newcastle’s 3.30.

In the Hennessy itself I find it hard to split WAYWARD PRINCE and Sarando and have gone for the former because of his stamina, his trainers recent form and Dougie Costello has ridden him six times for five wins and a second. Although I will be mixing the pair in a forecast with Planet Of Sound.

In the Stan James Fighting Fifth like the bookmakers I want to be against Binocular. Hills and Coral went 11-10 while the magic sign were only 4-6!

EMPIRE LEVANT was an easy winner at Newbury on Thursday and I take him to follow up in the 2.05 even though pricewise has gone for Titan De Sarti.

First leg of the Scoop6 is Newbury’s 1.30 and the backed horses are Wyck Hill and Master Fiddle.

 

POINTERS

HENNESSY GOLD CUP

Dougie Costello has ridden Wayward Prince six times to five wins and a second

Every winner since 1988 had finished 1st or 2nd last time out, with the exception of Madison du Berlais in 2008, Denman in 2009 and Diamond Harry in 2010

Nine of the last 13 winners had come from the first three in the betting

Eight of the last 10 winners were aged 6 or 7

Nine of the last thirteen winners had run in no more than 7 chase races

Since 1997 78 horses aged nine or over have run but only two have won

The horses to carry top weight to victory in recent years are Burrough Hill Lad in 1984, Trabolgan in 2005 and Denman 2007 & 2009

Thirteen of the last fourteen winners had had no more than one race prior to winning the Hennessy

Since One Man won the race 14 years ago, 33 Northern trained horses lined up all have been beaten

LONG DISTANCE HURDLE

Seven of the last eight favourites have won NEWBURY 2.00

Nicky Henderson has won the race three times from his last six runners

NEWCASTLE STAN JAMES FIGHTING FIFTH

Nine of the last ten winners finished first or second last time out

Eight of the last ten winners were in the first two in the betting

 

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