Tanya's Blog - Saturday 6th April 2013
The National is my nemesis, but I’ve got three against the field
Bookmakers may have had a dream day on Thursday but that soon turned into a nightmare on Friday as the four short-priced favourites, My Tent Or Yours, Dynaste, Sprinter Sacre and At Fisher's Cross all obliged.
It was a real privilege to be at Aintree to witness the Melling Chase as it was a real ‘I was there’ occasion. The whole race unravelled beautifully and was a joy to watch.
The manner in which Sprinter Sacre pulverised both Cue Card and Flemenstar was phenomenal. Quick, watch it again here:
On to the Grand National.
By 4.30 Friday On His Own had drifted from 15-2 to 9-1 setting the betting up for 10-1 the field in the morning but with William Hill stating they would go 12-1 the field punters are in for a treat.
Take a price on Saturday morning as the National runners are bound to shorten up closer to post time.
Amusingly when retiring to the press room having come off air on Friday there was already talk of who will win The Masters from some of the journos. Brandt Snedeker was my first reply but let me deal with the National first.
The last time I backed the winner was Ben Nevis in 1981. I did back Encore En Peu each-way behind Rough Quest in 1996 and Seabass last year. Yet the race still remains my nemesis.
Donald McCain, Jason Maguire and owner Tim Leslie can enjoy double delight in the first two races with Up And Go and Overturn. The latter is bound to prefer Aintree to Cheltenham and the better ground.
Battle Group can win two races in three days, one over hurdles and one over the bigger obstacles and finally Cockney Sparrow was going to be one of my bets at the Cheltenham Festival but with little weight and a further 7lb off her back with good conditional Dean Pratt in the saddle she has to be the bet of the day.
5.10 Aintree Cockney Sparrow at 7-1 with Paddy Power
Six of the last ten winners had run at the Cheltenham Festival
Tweleve of the last 15 winners came from the first two in the betting
Six of the last ten favourites have won
Seventeen of the last 18 winners ran in the Arkle Trophy
Since 1997 all the winners have come from the first three in the betting
Paul Nicholls has had five winners and seven seconds since 1999
Eight of the last ten winners finished in the first three last time out
All the previous winners of this race had won or finished second at the meeting before
All but one of the previous winners had finished in the first four in the World Hurdle
Ireland has yet to win the race
All of the winners had come from the first three in the betting
Only one winning favourite in the last ten years
Three of the last six winners had run in the Byrne Group Plate
Six of the last seven winners had failed to make the frame (first four) on their most recent start
Since the first running in 1977 Ireland have failed to win the prize
Always Waining has won the last three Topham Chases
Evan Williams has had a runner finish in the first four in the last four Nationals
Nicky Henderson has never won the Grand National
Ruby Walsh has ridden in the Grand National on ten occasions only ever failing to finish once plus he has won twice, second once, third once and fourth twice.
Eight of the last ten winners of the Grand National had run over hurdles at some time that season
Eighteen of the last 19 winners have been aged 9 or older
No Irish winner for six years
Ballabriggs is the only winner in the last 14 years to have won more than once that season
Five of the last ten winners had run in the race the previous season
Seven of the last twelve winners had run over the National fences
|home | associations | bloodstock agents | bookmakers | information | horses | jockeys | links | overseas | portals | racecourses | race horse trainers | sales | studs | syndicates | submit site|
|© racingbetter.co.uk • 91 Tribune Drive • Carlisle • CA3 0LE|