Tanya's Blog - Saturday 11th May 2013
Street Entertainer Makes Appeal
As I write I’ve not been long back from a brief expedition to Lingfield Park. There was a bigger than expected attendance, making for a good atmosphere. The course appeared splendid in the sunshine. I love watching races on the turf at Lingfield. Tomorrow the course plays host to the Oaks and Derby Trials and a terrific Chartwell Fillies’ Stakes.
Lily’s Angel ran a blinder in winning at Kempton a month ago. She is back again to plunder more prizes. Sir Michael Stoute is now in a rich vein of form, so no doubt Ultrasonic will be fancied, yet my visit to Lingfield informed me that Thierry Jarnet's French visitor won’t be without a chance so maybe a little Lily’s Angel-Kendam forecast?
I’ll be in Ascot’s mighty betting ring instead, but much of the racing falls in the "too hard" category. In the Victoria Cup I’ve narrowed it down to Haaf A Sixpence and Jamesie but will waiting until a few minutes before the off, before I pick one if at all.
At Haydock they host a mixed card and I’m intrigued to see Fox Appeal make a return in the 1.50pm. He carries top weight and how good does his Kempton win read now? He beat Medinas by 3 ½ lengths in November before going on to a thankless task of taking on Big Buck’s and he did well to only be beaten 11 lengths.
If Fox Appeal can replicate his Kempton run, and I know he has bundles of ability, even Battle Group may find him a potent force in opposition.
One of my eyecatchers of the National Hunt season would have to be Street Entertainer at Ascot behind Raya Star. He hasn’t run on the course since and now he has turned up in the Swinton Hurdle at Haydock at 3.30pm. Instinctively I was always going to back Forgotten Voice as Nicky Henderson has won the race before.
At Aintree Forgotten Voice had the unenviable task of being pitted against stable companion My Tent Or Yours. He is best judged on his penultimate start when winning the Dovecote at Kempton when showing a brilliant burst of acceleration. However conceding so much weight to Street Entertainer won’t be easy and on this occasion I stand by David Pipe’s runner.
1.50 Haydock: Fox Appeal
3.30 Haydock: Street Entertainer
4.00 Lingfield: Lily’s Angel
Nine of the last ten winners carried 9-1 or less
Eight of the last ten winners were aged 4 or 5
Eight of the last ten winners came from the top six in the betting
Six of the last seven winners were having their first ever run at Ascot
With the exception of Global Village last year, nine of the last ten winners had no more than two runs in the season prior to the Victoria Cup
Look Here finished 2nd to Miracle Seeker in 2008 before going on to win the Oaks
In 2009 Midday won the Oaks Trial then finished runner-up at Epsom
In 1999 Ramruma won the Oaks Trial and then went on to win at Epsom
Eight of the last ten winners had won at least once in their career prior to Lingfield
Eight of the last ten winners had race no more than three times prior to Lingfield
Four of the last five winners had raced over 10 furlongs (1m 2f) on their latest start
High-Rise is the last horse to win the Derby Trial, then go on to win at Epsom 1998
Main Sequence won the Derby Trial on the AW last year before finishing second to Camelot at Epsom
Eight of the last ten winners ran no more than twice at two
Nine of the last ten winners had run just once in the season prior to Lingfield
Five of the last seven winners had raced over 9 furlongs or more at two
Only two of the last ten favourites have won
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