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Tanya's Blog - Thursday 11th July 2013

Sugar can taste so sweet at Newmarket

Sadly you can’t be in two places at once or even three! Trent Bridge is a huge distraction. But racing has scheduled some mighty heavyweights alongside each other certainly towards the end of the week with Chester, York, Ascot and Newmarket all battling for centre stage and the punting pound. Too much of a good thing is bad as some really good horses will be lost to the big-name clashes.

On Thursday I’ll be stood in Newmarket’s summery betting ring. In fairness the bookmakers would turnover more if they were selling ice-cream, or even strawberries. 

The July course is not one for maximum turnover, as it is a rather special place to visit and enjoy the surroundings.

The dynamic of the ring could change if, as I suspect, Justin Carthy makes his debut on the Ladbrokes pitch on-course. Justin, renown for standing on the pitch of the all-conquering Chronicle bookmakers will now try and acclimatise to standing for a bigger concern.

Newmarket on Wednesday was warm and breezy, the setting poised for three days of fun. Which is far from how I feel at present as I'm nursing a summer cold.  So here’s hoping the selections can come good.

Feel Like Dancing, who runs in the Bahrain Trophy, was an admirable runner-up in the Queen’s Vase and in an interview with trainer John Gosden prior to his run at Chester he was nominated as more of a St Leger horse. John Gosden is also attempting a third straight triumph in the race and he has the stride which would be suited to this July course.

Brown Sugar caught everyone’s eyes when runner-up over course and distance on debut and there is no surprise that the run translated into a triumph at Salisbury. Surely there is more to come. 

Today's tips:

1.40 Newmarket: Feel Like Dancing at 3-1 with SkyBet

2.10 Newmarket: Brown Sugar at 8-1 with Paddy Power

Tanya's Pointers:

Princess Of Wales's Stakes:

Ryan Moore has won four of the last six Princess Of Wales’s Stakes

Only two favourites have won the Princess Of Wales’s Stakes in the last 20 years and none in the last ten favourites

Six of the last ten winners had run at Royal Ascot on their most recent run, four in the Hardwicke Stakes

Nine of the last ten winners had competed against at least Group Two company

Eight of the last ten winners had finished no better than third on their most recent start

Eight of the last ten winners had run between once and no more than three times in the current campaign

Bahrain Trophy: 

Seven of the last ten winners of the Bahrain Trophy came from the first two in the betting (five of them were favourite)

Only one of the last ten winners of the Bahrain Trophy had won on their previous start

Seven of the last ten winners of the Bahrain Trophy had run at Royal Ascot that season

July Stakes:

Richard Hannon has won the July Stakes five times

Eight of the last ten winners of the July Stakes had raced no more than twice prior to Newmarket

Eight of the last ten winners of the July Stakes had finished now worse than third on their most recent run

Nine of the last ten winners of the July Stakes came from the first four in the betting.

3.15 Newmarket:

Only one of the last ten favourites have won.

Nine of the last ten winners had had at least three runs in the current campaign

Seven of the last ten winners had been beaten on their most recent run

Four of the last ten winners had run their most recent start at Royal Ascot