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Angus McNae - Wednesday 11th September 2013

Sectionals Point to Justineo in Scarbrough

Thanks to the win of Gordon Lord Byron on Saturday and the inability of Rex Imperator to make the frame this column has some units to go to war with this week at Doncaster. 

Before I fire two selections at you I would like to point out that the John Gosden/William Buick axis has a tremendous record at the track.

In the past five seasons William Buick has a 23% strike rate and John Gosden has struck at a rate of 20%.

For Buick in particular that is a superb record and while he is not as effective elsewhere we would all be foolish to ignore such stats which incidentally are well founded in big sample sizes. 

With the above in mind it will not be a shock to you that I am going to tip a horse ridden by Buick on Town Moor today in the form of Justineo in the 3.00pm.

This was a horse that I highlighted in one of my Goodwood columns where I analysed the Turftrax sectional times at the meeting. Essentially this horse tried to make all at Goodwood, set blistering fractions and then repelled all challengers until late on.

From a sectional times angle this was a tremendous performance and he may take some catching this afternoon. At 7-2 he should be backed to win. 

If you want to read my analysis of Justineo’s run in the King George Stakes at Glorious Goodwood, click here.

I realize that he is a shortish price in a competitive event, but he is clearly the most likely winner. One concern is the state of the ground. He would not want much more rain and if there were to be a deluge before racing I would not be so confident. 

I have never been averse to backing two horses in a race and that is exactly what I think is the best plan of attack here. Judge 'n Jury is my other wager. He has some decent track form to his name and ran well at Haydock on Saturday. I spoke briefly to his trainer Ron Harris on Saturday and he told me that the horse had been struggling all year on fast ground, but now that the rain has come much better can be expected of him and he certainly put up an improved effort on Saturday. This is a step up in class, but he is talented and the ground will be very much in his favour. He should be backed each way at 20/1.

Angus's Wednesday selections:

3.00 Doncaster: Justineo win bet at 7-2 with MansionBet and Ladbrokes

3.00 Doncaster: Judge 'n Jury each way bet at 20/1