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Tanya's Blog - 16th April 2011
NEPTUNE COLLONGES, don’t laugh, he’s my selection in the Coral Scottish National. The perception is that he is in to keep the weights down for his stable companion The Minack. However I don’t think The Minack jumps well enough, and we don’t even know he stays! Neptune Collonges is ridden by the champ A P McCoy, and he could try to lead all the way, in my mind the only dangers to him are the 1-2 in the Grimthorpe Chase, ALWAYS RIGHT and LOTHIAN FALCON and I’m bold enough to do a combination forecast.
Yesterday the blog had success with Ferdy Murphy and his Watch My Back, time to side with the trainer again at 4.30 with I’M DELILAH, so unlucky at Aintree last time when hampered. If you are silly like me why not try putting in a forecast with PROFESSER HIGGINS.
Another horse who didn’t have the best of fortune on his last run was TEXAS HOLDEM at Hexham, going well when brought down three out, he could get his compensation in the first at Ayr.
Will the real SANCTUAIRE come forward, he certainly could make his presence felt in the Scottish Champion Hurdle. It might just be too much for Overturn to try and lead all the way under top weight.
Newbury is just a watching brief for me but I will be dabbling each-way on BRICK RED in the Spring Cup at 3.45.
Eight of the last nine winners of the Coral Scottish National have carried 10-9 or less
Since 1995 89 horses have worn either blinkers, visors or cheekpieces in the Coral Scottish National, all have been beaten
Only two of the last eleven winners of the Coral Scottish National had run at that seasons Cheltenham Festival. (Be There In Five, Beshabar, Blazing Bailey, Fair Along, No Panic, Fredo, Gansey, Gone To Lunch, Neptune Collonges, Poker de Sivola all ran at Cheltenham Festival this year)
Of the last 41 7-year-olds to run in the Coral Scottish National only one has won
Paul Nicholls last 21 runners in the Scottish National have all been beaten but in that ten year period he has trained the runner-up four times
Phillip Hobbs last 14 runners in the Scottish National have all been beaten but he has had three thirds, and two fourths
Ferdy Murphy has won the Coral Scottish National three times in the last eleven years – Paris Pike 2000, Joes Edge 2005 and Hot Weld 2007
The last ten favourites have been beaten in the Scottish National, five of which failed to complete the course
The last nine winners Newbury’s (3.45) Spring Mile were drawn in double-figure stalls
Nine of the last ten favourites have been beaten in Newbury’s 3.45pm
Richard Hannon has trained four of the last nine winners (or three of the last four) of the Greenham Stakes Newbury’s 3.10
Overturn is unbeaten in three races at Ayr
Morgan Be has won five of his six races at Ayr
Richard Hughes is unbeaten in three races on Eucharist they go at 2.40 Newbury