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Tanya's Blog - 13th May 2011

Carlton House’s victory will hopefully bring together the nation, how wonderful for Her Majesty to have a viable chance in the Investec Derby. Epsom will be packed, not a blade of grass on the Downs will be available. A heinous crime but I still fancy MIDSUMMER FAIR for Mahmood Al Zarooni in the Classic.

On to today, rain is expected at the Knavesmire, yet there is no evidence of it just yet, there continues to be a brisk breeze which must have dried out the ground. Bill Barber, Lee Motteshead of the Racing Post are already working hard, Simon Clare of MansionBet is pacing the press room, Mac is coordinating the newspaper headlines for today’s programme and I’m just typing, desperately trying to find a winner. Both Johannes and Swiss Franc are surefire future winners. We need some now, HANOVERIAN BARON is a good a place as any to start. He won the race last and there doesn’t seem too much which would worry me lining up against him. Averroes has been quietly nibbled in the betting, so watch for him.

NATIVE RULER ran well enough when just touched off by Dandino at Newmarket and he should gain ample compensation in the Yorkshire Cup. PRIMEVERE was backed for the Oaks before her run in the Pretty Polly and although Flood Plain is a positive on the exchanges I stick with Roger Charlton’s runner.

As for the Eurovision song contest and the second semi-final, Jedward qualified, and their price contracted to 5-1, yet Estonia and Sweden ran much better and they would be preferred ahead of the Irish duo.

POINTERS

Mahmood Al Zarooni has had four winners from his last five runners


YORK 1:30

Adam Beschizza has had six winners from his last 19 rides

Five of the six winners had won on their previous start

The biggest starting price of all five winners was 7-1


YORK 2:00

Dazzling Light has been beaten in all seven starts at York

Crackentorp has been beaten in all five runs at York

9 of the last ten winners have been drawn in single figure stalls

Only two of the last ten winners were priced in double figures, despite that only three favourites have obliged

Tim Easterby’s last seven runners in the race have all been beaten

Sir Michael Stoute has had only one winner from his last 18 runners (to be updated)


YORK 2:30

Eight of the last ten winners were beaten on their last run

8 of the last ten winners had had at least one run this season

The biggest priced winner in the last 10 years was 9-1


YORK 3:00

The biggest price of the five winners was 15-2

Four of the five winners had been beaten on their previous start


NEWBURY 2:10

Five of the last six favourites have won