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Tanya's Blog - Thursday 12th September 2013

Tick the boxes with Katie

I’ll be stood on Thursday in the betting ring, which on Wednesday was friendless, toothless, wet and bedraggled. Here’s hoping for change when I go live to air.

Seeing as in the 1.40 Doncaster not many have even encountered soft ground I’ve zeroed in on the few that have. Ticking Katie is the one for me and also is supported by the wonderful stat of the winning relationship Karl Burke and Joey Haynes has formed. 

If ever there are conditions to suit then its soft ground for Maureen in the Sceptre Stakes at 2.10.  The hold-up filly has been running well without the form figures displaying such, and all at the highest level. 

At Deauville last time her run was blocked when trying to make her move - she may not have won, but I feel she would have snatched second behind Elusive Kate.  She has a phenomenal talent and turn of foot, which will only be accentuated if the conditions worsen.

Having backed and tipped Lupo D’Oro everywhere when he ran at Sandown on August 31 it is time for the retrieval mission.  I have no idea why he started so slowly, instead just hope there is no repeat in the 4.25pm.

What a thrill it was to be invited to the Leger Legends’ Marquee on Thursday, guest of ARC and I was sat near my good friend Kate Hills. So many familiar faces sat around the tables and the one which brought the biggest smile to me and many others was that of Racing UK’s Tom O’Ryan who was subject to a constant queue of well wishers.

It was a good place to go covertly, especially as the rain came heavily, which wasn’t needed for my tip Medicean Man.  Already on as I couldn’t wait, I watched my readies get stuck in the ground. Another lesson learned for next time and apologies to you all.  The going at the time of typing was good to soft but rain was still falling.

Tanya’s Thursday tips:

1.40 Doncaster: Ticking Katie at 10-1 with Bet Victor

2.10 Doncaster: Maureen at 11-4 with Bet Victor

Tanya’s pointers:

Dane O’Neill has ridden six winners from his 17 rides at Doncaster in 2013

Joey Haynes has won on four of his last seven rides for Karl Burke

Seven of the last nine winners of 1.40 Doncaster had run at least four times prior to Doncaster

Seven of the last nine winners of 1.40 Doncaster had all been beaten on their most recent race

Only one horse has carried more than 8-10 to victory in the 2.10 Doncaster in the last ten years (Fantasia 2009)

Seven of the last ten winners of the 2.10 Doncaster had come from the first three in the betting

Six of the last nine winners of 2.40 Doncaster were drawn in double figure stalls

Seven of the last ten winners of 3.15 Doncaster came from the first three in the betting.