Tanya Stevenson
Tanya Stevenson's Racing UK Blog
Sunday 1st May 2016

Racing UK

Mix it up and take on Minding in the Guineas with this 40-1 chance

Racing's greatest entertainer put on a Classic show as Frankie Dettori proved all that glitters IS gold on Saturday!  

Last year it was Classic glory with Golden Horn, fast forward to Galileo Gold's Qipco 2000 Guineas and 20 years on from the Italian's first victory in the race with Mark Of Esteem Frankie made it three when romping away from Massaat and Ribchester.

Dreams are now alive for Epsom glory in the Investec Derby, where he is quoted around 10-1.  

What a day for Hugo Palmer, his last 20 runners have now produced six wins, four seconds and four thirds, including his first victory in the 2000 Guineas at only his second attempt.  

A stable which also houses crowd pleaser Gifted Master and a stable which now stands brimming with pride and excitement as we bound headlong into the Flat season proper.

Sadly Air Force 'Blew' out, which was desperately disappointing for his backers and connections who constantly strive for perfection. It was clear he wasn't travelling comfortably from a long way out.

It was not a great day for favourite backers as Jack Hobbs was pulled up in the preceding Jockey Club Stakes, though he is back in his stable with John Gosden. Not far away in Freemason Lodge is Exosphere, who flew to record an eighth victory in the race for Sir Michael Stoute.  

Galileo Gold and Exosphere weren't the only stars on show as young George Wood proved he was an apprentice to follow aboard Knight Owl in the first. He is only 18 and it was only his third ever win. Judging by his poise and style there are plenty more to follow.

Free Racing Tips

We move on to Qipco 1000 Guineas day. Minding, Ballydoyle and Alice Springs represent Aidan O'Brien and the first two are positioned first and third in the betting.  

Minding is already Oaks favourite and she just needs to establish that she is as good, if not better, at three than she was at two. The flashy grey Lumiere has all the charisma as well as being very smart - she bagged the Cheveley Park last season - and I wonder what's in store in 2016.  

Mix And Mingle
© Racehorse Photos
Mix And Mingle

I have taken a punt on Mix And Mingle, however. It is partly out of sentiment, partly due to her undoubted ability. She seemed very light framed in the Nell Gwyn when fourth to Nathra and is sure to have bulked up even for Chris Wall to consider running her.  

She bounded up the hill at the Rowley Mile in October when she won a nursery and is equipped with the grit and determination to put in a bold bid. The saver goes on Midweek, Mme Criquette Head-Maarek has won four 1000 Guineas and those who have taken in a Prix Imprudence, in which she was second to Spectre, have a great record. 

Tanya Stevenson's Sunday tips

3.00 Newmarket: Huntsmans Close at 10-1

3.40 Newmarket: Mix And Mingle at 40-1 each-way with bet365 and BetVictor

3.40 Newmarket: Midweek each-way at 20-1 with Paddy Power

Tanya Stevenson's Sunday pointers:

1.50 Newmarket - Qipco Supporting British Racing Stakes:

None of the last ten winners were aged older than five

Seven of the last ten winners carried 9-0 or more

Nine of the last ten winners derived from the first five in the betting

The biggest price of the winner across the decade was 12-1

2.25 Newmarket - Charm Spirit At Tweenhills In 2017 Dahlia Stakes:

Six of the last ten winners were trained by Sir Michael Stoute

Seven of the last ten winners came from the first two in the betting

Ryan Moore has ridden the winner on five occasions

3.00 Newmarket - longholes.com Rehab And Pre-Training Handicap:

Only one of the last ten favourites have won

Nine of the last ten winners were aged four or five

3.40 Newmarket - Qipco 1000 Guineas Stakes:

The best draw is stall two, which since 1988 has produced three winners, three seconds, four thirds and three in fourth.

Along with stall two it may be worth giving closer inspection to stalls three, five, seven and 13. Stall five has produced five runners-up!

Nine favourites since 1988 have won, but only three in the last ten years

Only five of the last 12 favourites priced 2-1 or under have won

Only six of the last 20 winners had won previously over a mile

Seventeen of the last 20 winners had won over at least seven furlongs

Seventeen of the last 20 winners had won at least twice previously

Seven of the last ten winners had run in the current season

Only three winners in the last 20 years were unbeaten