Tanya Stevenson
Tanya Stevenson's Racing UK Blog
Thursday 17th April 2014

RACING UK - 1 Channel - 3 Devices - 1 Price

Aljamaaheer at six furlongs will be a sight to see

I mentioned in yesterday’s blog that I might do some research into the drop in bookmaker attendance.

Having had a quick glance to compare the Craven Meeting in 2004 with last year, there were 25% fewer pitches at the Rowley Mile.

Add to that the likelihood that some bookmakers were multiply represented then there is serious cause for alarm.

There was no surprise to see the bookmaker figures at Cheltenham for their two-day meeting has held up, and it may be enlightening that they have double the racegoer attendance to the Suffolk venue.

I really loved seeing the heat haze at Cheltenham, Beverley and Newmarket while watching on Wednesday and I was really taken, like many of you, by Mind Of Madness - another good horse for trainer David Brown. 

Toormore’s reappearance in the Novae Bloodstock Insurance Craven Stakes on Thursday is the highlight for many, while I can’t wait to see Aljamaaheer over six furlongs in the Connaught Access Flooring Abernat Stakes.

Dinkum Diamond is sure to tow him along for much of the way, and if he is not totally fit he could sneak it.  Yet I just think Aljamaaheer’s size and strength should get him home, plus his third in the Lockinge and second in the Queen Anne last season.

My other fancy is at Cheltenham. I posted plenty of names to follow from the races at the Festival last month, one of which was L’Unique, who lines up in the OLBG.com Supports Mares’ Jump Racing Mares’ Handicap Hurdle.

Cockney Sparrow was behind L’Unique at the Festival when the pair were beaten by Quevega and seeing how Cockney Sparrow ran at Ayr on Saturday when beating My Tent Or Yours I think she can go close despite top weight. Blue Buttons is the obvious danger.

There is plenty of build-up for the historic first Good Friday fixtures at Musselburgh and Lingfield. I’m intending to be at the latter out of curiosity in addition to the fact I want to watch Complicit very closely in the 2.55 - the run at Deauville December is something that struck a chord with me then and has ever since.

So often these days the postman delivers junk mail, as well as umpteen bills but on Wednesday I was in receipt of a promotional leaflet and booking form for the BMW Championships at Wentworth towards the end of next month.

To watch all four days of play is cheaper than one ticket for one day at my beloved Lord’s to see India!

I grant you there is the addition of travel expenses and car-parking, but it will still be cheaper than most of the sporting occasions I’m considering being at this summer. 

How many of you get disturbed by cold calls, surveys, or people trying to sell things?

The phone rang with one right in the middle of the Vieux Lion Rouge race at Cheltenham on Wednesday so I couldn’t concentrate on his improved performance when third in the opener. It was far from good enough to pay for any tickets to Wentworth, mind.   

The Indian Premier League started on Wednesday, which is fabulous fun.  I make the whole tournament between Sunrisers Hyderabad and Royal Challengers Bangalore.  As much as people focus on the glory hitters, it is the bowlers who win matches, especially at the death. 

LAYERS PARADISE: Overall Profit: +£44.461,00
Service with an average monthly profit of close £3,000.00.

Tanya Stevenson’s Thursday Tips:

3.15 Cheltenham: L’Unique at 8-1 with bet365

3.30 Newmarket: Aljamaaheer at 6-4 with Paddy Power

Tanya Stevenson’s Friday tip:

2.55 Lingfield: Complicit

Tanya Stevenson’s Thursday pointers:

Newmarket:

Seven of the last ten winners of the 1.45 Newmarket were drawn in stall four or lower. 

Five of the last ten winners of the 1.45 Newmarket started favourite.

Only one of the last ten winners of the 1.45 Newmarket started at a double-figure price.

Charlie Appleby has a 50% strike-rate with his juveniles at Newmarket.

All five winners of 2.55 Newmarket were making their seasonal debut.

Roger Varian and Andrea Atzeni have teamed up for a 38% strike-rate so far this year.

Mark Johnston and Silvestre De Sousa have a 30% strike-rate this year.

Eight of the last ten winners of the Abernant Stakes were making their seasonal debut

Eight of the last ten winners of the Craven Stakes came from the first two in the betting

Seven of the last ten winners of the Earl Of Sefton Stakes came from the first three in the betting

Mull Of Killough has won three of his five races at Newmarket, including the Earl Of Sefton last year

Cheltenham:

Dougie Costello has never finished out of the first two on Run Ructions Run in five starts

Conor Shoemark has ridden As I Am six times to three wins, two seconds and a third

Neil Mullholland currently enjoys a 33% strike-rate at Cheltenham

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